The ExchangeConfidential · 2026
↑ ↓ to navigate
Property Intelligence × Greentree

The Exchange

for property-investment intent

Each lead sold once, to one accountable buyer — carrying cryptographic proof it was consented and is in-licence.

Four atoms · Seven revenue layers · One keystone
01 / 16
The problem

A lead today is a rumour,
sold repeatedly.

Sold many times

The same prospect is resold across brokers and gets hammered. "Consent" is a fiction the moment a record changes hands.

No proof of quality

Buyers can't verify a lead, so they discount everything. The good leads quietly subsidise the bad — a market for lemons.

No accountability

No recourse for the regulator, no licence the upstream data owner can trust. Everyone is exposed; no one is answerable.

The value leaks at every hop.

02 / 16
The reframe

It isn't a marketplace.
It's an exchange.

Rating agencyMoody's
Conviction enginerates every lead, provably
Clearing housesettlement
Proof & settlement railconsent ∧ lane ∧ rating clear together
Exchange seatright to transact
Franchise membershipaccountable, contracted, audited
Listingsthe unit of trade
Proof-carrying leadsa handle + claims, never raw PII
Market data feedthe tape
Clearing-price exhausta second product, for free

You architect an exchange differently. The atoms must be right on day one — retrofitting them is brutal.

03 / 16
How it works

One consented prospect,
one clean clearing.

01
Consent
First-party, at the front door. Channel-scoped.
02
Rate
The conviction engine scores readiness, provably.
03
Mint listing
Proof-carrying, lane-tagged, perishable.
04
Route / auction
To the one best-matched seat in territory.
05
Clear
Settle · disclose once · prove — atomically.
06
Feed back
Outcome attested back. The rating sharpens.

The data never moves until the moment of clearing — to exactly one buyer, under live consent.

04 / 16
The architecture

Four atoms.

Atom 0

Consent Grant

The lawful-basis spine. Versioned, withdrawable, channel-scoped — separating what we collect from what we may disclose.

Atom 1

Listing

The tradeable unit. Proof and claims, never raw PII — a handle to a sealed record that releases only at clearing.

Atom 2

Seat

The right to transact — and the compliance perimeter. A KYC'd, contracted, audited buyer; the bond against leakage.

Atom 3

Clearing

The keystone. Settle, disclose, and prove in one indivisible act. One discloser, one recipient, one proven moment.

05 / 16
The keystone

Clearing is a single,
indivisible act.

Settlement, disclosure, and proof — all-or-nothing. One discloser. One recipient. One live-checked consent. One proven moment.

Reserve + debit

Atomic core: a live consent & lane check, exactly-one-winner enforced by optimistic concurrency, the seat debited.

Prove + pay

Idempotent, post-commit: the proof bundle minted, payment captured, the audit log appended.

Settle — or compensate

Reconcile to settled, or compensate. Post-disclosure failure taints the lead so it can never re-clear as fresh.

Technically a saga — because proof and payment can't live inside one transaction. Exactly-one-winner is enforced, not asserted.

06 / 16
The moat

The flywheel a data-buyer
can't copy.

Their data is static.
Our conviction-truth compounds.

Every clearing returns a private, bonded conversion outcome. It sharpens the rating in a way static upstream data never can — and it's fenced to an accountable seat network with real switching costs. A competitor sitting on the same raw data has no way to rebuild it.

07 / 16
The economics

The numbers hold.

A$1,200
Expected value of a tier-A consented lead
12–22%
Take-rate band on seat realised value (18% model)
A$25k+6k/yr
Seat buy-in plus annual membership
23 / 23
Load-bearing numbers independently tied out

Anchored to real comparables, every figure assumption-flagged. Oracle-verified for arithmetic and anti-fabrication.

08 / 16
The economics — scenarios

Lean, Base, Bull.

Lean
Phase-0 wedge — first-party only, routed allocation, a handful of seats in one metro.
A$274k
Base
Liquid auction across several territories, secondary re-allocation live, the licence lane open.
A$2.85M
Bull
National seat network, rating-as-a-service, the market-data feed and forward market monetised.
A$20M

Annual revenue across the seven layers. The one number to verify: the take-rate floor holds iff a seat's self-source cost for an equivalent lead exceeds ~A$216.

09 / 16
Why now

The template exists.
So does the cautionary tale.

The template

Zillow Flex

Pay-on-outcome, exclusive, single-recipient, standing-gated allocation — a proven, profitable model. Our closest commercial template. The whitespace no comp has: the consent/lane proof spine and the bonded outcome flywheel.

The cautionary tale

LeadPoint

The world's first lead exchange — died in 2026 on unlicensed lead-gen, not on the mechanism. External proof that lane-at-ingest and KYC'd seats are existential, not gold-plating. Our instinct was right.

10 / 16
Compliance as moat

The constraint is the brand.

Lane boundary

Structurally clean

Owner-marketing data has no path to the minter — the prohibited use is unrepresentable, not merely forbidden.

Consent

Counsel-ready

Disclosure rests on APP 6.1(a) consent directly, channel-scoped, with the platform sending the warm first contact.

Proof-carrying

Provably in-licence

Every lead ships with evidence it was consented and within scope — quality and compliance in one artifact.

The only exchange a regulator would point to as the model.

11 / 16
What could kill it

We went looking for
the murder weapon.

The moat is the murder weapon.

An unsupervised outcome flywheel is demographically entangled — without a fairness term it drifts into provable redlining, and our own audit log becomes the regulator's evidence binder. Two more: the single-discloser vault is a honeypot; the market-data feed could enable predatory targeting while staying technically k-anonymous.

Already bound as anti-goals: a fairness audit before any cell opens · a prospect-welfare term in the objective · no bulk reads, ever.

12 / 16
The upstream

We hand Cotality control,
not a promise.

A verifiable downstream-control guarantee de-risks them — the lever to move the redistribution licence from red to amber.

The honest bound

Owner-data-for-marketing is un-buyable in every state, regardless of contract or proof. We concede it openly — and prove we never touch it.

The unlock

And none of it gates Phase 0. The licence is an inventory expansion, not a prerequisite. The business proves itself first.

13 / 16
The path

Phase 0 ships without Cotality.

Phase 0 — Wedge

Prove the loop

First-party data, signed proofs, routed allocation. The real gate is a consent sign-off — ours to get.

Phase 1 — Liquidity

Open the floor

Auction, secondary re-allocation, reputation, range-proofs on conviction.

Phase 2 — Licence

Expand inventory

The Cotality lane opens; clean-room / TEE proof stream; market-data productised.

Phase 3 — Scale

Become the rail

Rating-as-a-service, seat transfers, the forward market.

The gate that opens the business is a consent letter — not the upstream deal.

14 / 16
Where we stand

Half the engine already
runs in production.

Built ✓
  • Conviction engine — rate & recalibrate
  • Secured data plane — auth, audit, k-anon
  • Consented front door — the calculator
  • Rep-brief surface — the seat's daily view
To build
  • + The market — listing, floor, clearing
  • + The proof — signatures now, ZK later
  • + The franchise contract — the seat
  • + The consent artefact — the Phase-0 gate

~50–60% there. The missing pieces are the market and the proof — not the data engine.

15 / 16
The ask

Two moves, in parallel.

1
Spike the Phase-0 clearing saga
On the live Convex plane — spike-ready today, zero new infrastructure, no gates to touch. Proves the single hardest atom end-to-end.
2
Send the consent checklist to counsel
That sign-off — not the Cotality licence — is what opens the Phase-0 business. The cheapest existential gate; test it first.

DECISIONS ON THE TABLE  ·  take-rate band  ·  franchise vs licensed-panel  ·  auction design

From an exciting idea on Monday to a build-ready thesis — priced, proven, cleared.

16 / 16